[link] We elect gov, lt. gov, and AG in off years. Democrats projected to win all three major races, and some key state legislature seats have flipped as well. The... Who's Online | Find Members | Private Messages
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Democrats win big in state races in VA

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10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:05:50 PM EST (GMT-5)
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-news/2...

We elect gov, lt. gov, and AG in off years. Democrats projected to win all three major races, and some key state legislature seats have flipped as well.

The numbers out of NoVA are especially staggering, and will be the big news. But the little rural/town precinct where I work (which is reliably republican) also had incredibly tight margins.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:12:55 PM EST (GMT-5)
i could be reading their tweets wrong, but someone was saying that democrats have picked up 19 seats and i think they only needed to flip 17 seats to gain control


then new jersey looks like some awesome things can happen there like marijuana legalization and gun control

maine will probably medicaid as well

it's a pretty good day
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:13:13 PM EST (GMT-5)
*will probably expand medicaid
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:32:34 PM EST (GMT-5)
Holy Jesus f*ckballs, if that's true then WOW. VA got gerrymandered to f*ck after 2010. Before today, Rs were only 1-2 seats shy of a VETO-PROOF majority. I haven't seen many state race results Bc I just got home from working my precinct. But I know at least one of our local races flipped, and by a HEFTY margin.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:39:08 PM EST (GMT-5)
If I were a republican up in 2018 in an even remotely swing district, I would be sh*tting my pants right now, tbh. That is a goddamn slaughter.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:52:07 PM EST (GMT-5)
heartwarming
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:52:37 PM EST (GMT-5)
Lol
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:00:02 PM EST (GMT-5)
On Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:52:07 PM Rag_Doll_ wrote:
heartwarming

Yeah it is, especially considering how nasty our Gov race got. Gillespie was basically running an overtly racist campaign by the end. Part of that was because he couldn't very well run on his record...he's super-duper establishment Washington insider. Former lobbyist for Enron, worked with Karl Rove and Newt Gingrich, the whole deal. So he fell back on "our heritage" and confederate monuments, etc. Which is f*cking especially hilarious to me because he's originally from New Jersey.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:01:29 PM EST (GMT-5)
On Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:13:13 PM Disappears wrote:
*will probably expand medicaid

And this is absolutely HUGE. Big parts of the state, including mine, are down to one insurer because of all the market uncertainty ginned up by Trump/national republicans. I think it's something like 450,000 people in the state would gain coverage under an expansion.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:02:12 PM EST (GMT-5)
Haha, what a tool.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:07:34 PM EST (GMT-5)
Also, Gillespie was anti-voting rights restoration for felons. VA is currently one of only a handful of states that makes people petition the governor in order to be able to vote again after a felony conviction. Most are somewhere on the spectrum of immediate restoration to automatic restoration after all fines are paid and all probation/parole is completed.
There was a big court fight over it last year when McAuliffe tried to restore a bunch of people's at once, and it created huge hassles for us at the polls because people found themselves in voter registration limbo because of all the legal wrangling.

Honestly one of the best moments of today was when a lady came to check in with me and said she was about to cast her first vote in over 15 years. She got restored just in time for this election.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:07:59 PM EST (GMT-5)
On Tuesday 11/7/17 - 9:52:07 PM Rag_Doll_ wrote:
heartwarming
On Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:00:02 PM birdsong4j wrote:
Yeah it is, especially considering how nasty our Gov race got. Gillespie was basically running an overtly racist campaign by the end. Part of that was because he couldn't very well run on his record...he's super-duper establishment Washington insider. Former lobbyist for Enron, worked with Karl Rove and Newt Gingrich, the whole deal. So he fell back on "our heritage" and confederate monuments, etc. Which is f*cking especially hilarious to me because he's originally from New Jersey.


did anyone challenge him in the primary? i thought establishment GOP folks were on their way out.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:11:20 PM EST (GMT-5)
Yes, Corey Stewart narrowly lost the GOP primary. He was an extremely Trumpy candidate who ran SUPER hard on the "our heritage" stuff (he's from Minnesota, btw, another famous Confederate State).

Gillespie is establishment, but he also has name recognition among VA GOP. He challenged Mark Warner's senate seat a few years back and did fairly well.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:15:11 PM EST (GMT-5)
Also, I'm not sure I agree that establishment candidates are "on their way out." I think it's easy to think that after the 2016 primary, but the fact is that Trump has historically low approval ratings for a president at this point in his first term. He's underwater by like 25 points in VA, and is even losing ground among some of his most reliable bases (white people w/out college degrees, etc.).
The VA dems didn't try too hard to tie Gillespie to Trump, and it probably wouldn't have worked too well if they had. But Stewart was as Trumpy as they come, and common wisdom even among republicans is that it cost him the primary.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:22:38 PM EST (GMT-5)
it looks like there are still several seats that are too close to call, so the official count is democrats have 47 seats to republicans 46

the only votes left to count are provisional votes and supposedly they swing democrat, so that's potentially a win and full control or democrats in virginia
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:34:33 PM EST (GMT-5)
Provisional ballots do swing democrat here usually, but they're also impossible to predict because you never know if they're going to count.

I think absentees are still being counted in a lot of places, too. Not sure how many of them there are by % statewide, but I know in our precinct, they conceivably could have swung a couple of races the other way (if 100% of absentee votes had gone for the losing candidate, which of course they wouldn't...but that stuff adds up).
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:37:25 PM EST (GMT-5)
That said, I think our provisionals tend to count more than some places - we have a voter ID law, but it is pretty permissive, as those go. A lot of provisionals are cast by people who show up at the polls and don't realize they needed to bring their ID (this happens a lot with elderly people who don't drive anymore). So then they vote provisional rather than go home and get the ID and come back, but all they have to do is present the valid ID at the registrar's office within the next three days, and their vote will pretty much certainly count.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:46:15 PM EST (GMT-5)
WHOA. Lee Carter actually won in the 50th SHD. That's a crazy upset...Jackson Miller, the R who's had that seat for about a decade, was actually the House Majority Whip. And Carter was endorsed by DSA groups. What the f*ck.
I'm pretty sure SHD50 is parts of PWC and Manassas, so it's kind of a swing district. That's maybe the most insane thing I've seen so far tonight.
10 days ago - Tuesday 11/7/17 - 10:51:20 PM EST (GMT-5)
we should move back
10 days ago - Wednesday 11/8/17 - 12:36:07 AM EST (GMT-5)
One of the races that flipped here was in the 12th. Joseph Yost (R) has held that seat for about a decade now, and it was considered pretty safe for him (without getting too much into local demographics, gerrymandering played a big part, especially by diluting some heavily democratic areas).

Yost has an A-rating from the NRA, which is pretty much a necessity around here if you want to have any chance.

The guy who beat him, Chris Hurst, was a former local TV anchor. His girlfriend and her co-anchor were shot and killed on live TV in 2015, by a disgruntled former employee of the station. He ran in part on a platform of gun control reform and reducing gun violence in general. And he won by (last i read) 7 points.

It makes me feel just slightly less sh*tty about the prospect of meaningful gun control reform.
10 days ago - Wednesday 11/8/17 - 2:59:47 AM EST (GMT-5)
So it looks like Northam will win by about 9 points. If I'm not mistaken, that's a 30-year record margin for democrats.

Even if the number of state house seats flipped stands where it is right now (12 solid, last I checked), that is the largest +D swing in seats in over a century.

I assume republicans will try to downplay this (partly because our current Gov, Lt. Gov, and AG are all democrats, and we retained those offices - although all but AG Herring will be occupied by *different* democrats now), but this actually is a really big deal.
9 days ago - Wednesday 11/8/17 - 3:56:22 AM EST (GMT-5)
Only 986 seats to go!
9 days ago - Wednesday 11/8/17 - 4:48:21 AM EST (GMT-5)
986, That is what would be termed the fat end of the wedge.

The door is still opened though. Good luck pushing it closed now.
2 days ago - Wednesday 11/15/17 - 8:13:59 PM EST (GMT-5)
Whoa, so this might be a big mess. In VA-28 (which is in Stafford Co.), the Republican won by 82 votes. Super close. So obviously when it's that close, the other side will challenge.

The democrats are saying that over 600 people in one precinct were given the *wrong ballots.*

If that happened, it means that potentially 600 people were given a ballot that should have had the Cole-Thomas race on it, but didn't. In a district where the current result is a margin of less than 100 votes.

There are two other races that are in recount - one in the Tidewater is a 10-vote margin. But if people really got the wrong ballots in Stafford...the lawyers are going to have a field day.

https://wtop.com/virginia/2017/11/a...
15 hrs ago - Friday 11/17/17 - 12:22:43 PM EST (GMT-5)
Excuse my ignorance but what does "were given the wrong ballots" mean? I have literally no idea what those ballots look like in the US and how you can get a wrong one. Do you not have a list of ALL candidates and just make a cross at your choice?

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